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You won't get more than 5%, and your purchasing power will be permanently impaired. What if inflation shoots even higher for one reason or another? Moreover, you have no protection against the risk of accelerating inflation. If inflation is 6%, what's your real yield? It is negative 1%.Īre you really getting ahead with that? No, you are going actually backward. Yes, with Treasuries, you may earn a 5% yield, but that's a nominal yield. I am going to give you two simple reasons. So why are REITs a better investment opportunity than Treasuries?

It is funny to me how everyone knows that the time to invest is when stocks are down, but then when a crash actually occurs, very few end up having the courage to take action and you will hear countless reasons why 'this time is different.' I have stopped buying Treasuries to buy REITs instead. I completely disagree and I am doing the opposite. Pros can possibly, but average reader here? Doubtful.' Buying stocks or non-Treasuries is pickup up dimes in front of an accelerating Steamroller. I doubt many REIT will be able to provide a comparable return, at least through the downturn/recession on the horizon. 'We can debate all day, but why bother? Sitting in 5% Treasuries laddered out a few years. Here is one of these comments, just to give an idea: This has led many of you to tell me that they have stopped buying REITs to buy Treasuries instead.Īfter all, why would you buy REITs when you could get a higher and safer yield by investing in Treasuries? Their share prices have dropped by 30%+ over the past year, and many fear that REITs could face even greater losses if and when we go into a recession: Real estate investment trusts, or REITs ( VNQ), on the other hand, are only yielding about 4% on average, and that's despite being a lot riskier investments. That's the highest yield they have offered in a very long time: Just like the old Rainbow Chart, someday it might not be correct anymore.Short-term Treasuries ( SPTS) are now yielding over 5%. You can not predict the price of Bitcoin with a rainbow! It is meant to be be a fun way of looking at the historical long term price movements. The Rainbow Chart is not investment advice! Past performance is not an indication of future results.

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If you have any questions, feel free to hit me up on Twitter or contact our PR Department. As you can see, even in the new model we are in the lowest “Fire Sale” band, so fingers crossed! The result is this beautiful rainbow that will hopefully have a brighter future than the old one. One that is the best fit for all of Bitcoin highs (red) and one that includes only the lows (blue).

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The rainbow is still not a full rainbow that goes back down, because that is not how Bitcoin works!.We kept the legend labels and the colors (still no indigo)!.You can add more years to the rainbow chart.You can now zoom and pan into the chart as you like.

But due to the recent events the potential trajectory for the Bitcoin Price is not as bullish as the old one.The new fit explains every move so far (the old one had a couple of wicks outside the rainbow).The Rainbow Chart V2 is based on a completly new formula, fitted with data until 2022.So instead of letting the rainbow chart die or simply add more colors (indigo, ultraviolet anyone?), we remodeled the Bitcoin Rainbow Chart! So, what’s new? Since then, we have a lot of new Bitcoin price data. But after a brutal 2022 in the crypto industry it was just no longer valid. Seriously, SELL! FOMO intensifies Is this a bubble? HODL! Still cheap Accumulate BUY! Basically a Fire SaleĪs you may have noticed: The original Bitcoin Rainbow Chart is dead! The chart, which was based on a model developed in 2014, held for quite some time.